Descarga la aplicación para disfrutar aún más
Vista previa del material en texto
Harvard Business School 9-597-020 Rev. January 5, 1998 Assistant Professor David J. Arnold and Professor John A. Quelch prepared this case as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Company names have been disguised. Copyright © 1996 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College. To order copies or request permission to reproduce materials, call 1-800-545-7685 or write Harvard Business School Publishing, Boston, MA 02163. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, used in a spreadsheet, or transmitted in any form or by any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without the permission of Harvard Business School. 1 Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions In May 1996, three U.S.-based multinational corporations (MNCs) were considering whether to enter Vietnam, and, if so, how. The world's twelfth most populous nation, Vietnam was being widely discussed as a future “Asian dragon,” because of the rapid economic growth and substantial inbound foreign direct investment (FDI) which had been stimulated by an ongoing series of liberalizing economic reforms in the previous 10 years. Opinion was divided, however, on the political and economic future of the country, which remained a one-party communist state. A number of U.S.-based MNCs were already operating in Vietnam, having entered immediately after the lifting of the U.S. trade embargo by President Clinton in February 1994. First to market, amid much publicity, had been PepsiCo, which, only seven hours after the lifting of the embargo, had started production in a bottling plant in which it had invested with Vietnamese and Singaporean partners, and the following evening placed advertisements featuring Miss Vietnam on national TV. Other early entrants, which had also been poised to enter at the earliest opportunity, included Motorola, Boeing, and several banks and accounting firms. These U.S.-based MNCs faced competition from many Asian and European corporations attracted by the potential growth in the Vietnamese market. A recent survey identified Vietnam as one of the most promising countries for future Japanese investment (see Exhibit 1). The three MNCs had each had been approached, both in their Asian offices and in the United States, by numerous potential distributors, joint-venture partners, and consultants offering advice on market entry. The decision they faced was summarized by one consultant as follows: It's a very difficult call. Vietnam is a large market in its own right, and it has a plentiful, well-educated, and low-cost workforce. Because it was one of the last countries to open its doors, it has been able to cherry-pick what it considers best practice from the emerging markets which have preceded it. What it has achieved so far is remarkable, especially when you remember that it's still run by the Communist Party. That's partly due to the Vietnamese, who are generally hard-working, and, especially in the south, entrepreneurial. But the government does seem genuinely committed to reform, and so far the transition has been remarkably smooth. At the same time, there are still plenty of things about Vietnam that worry Western firms. Top of everyone's list are the corruption, the bureaucracy, and the lack of infrastructure. Also, the Communist Party has every intention of keeping firm control and retains some unnerving powers, such as the right to buy into foreign For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. 597-020 Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 2 companies, or to decide the level of profits on which it will collect taxes. The pessimists had a field day in February, when the government dismantled all foreign- language billboards and painted out all foreign brand names on signs in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, as part of its campaign against “social evils.” It's early days yet. When you visit Vietnam, it still looks mostly undeveloped. The airports haven't been fully rehabilitated from the war, the roads are awful, and there's little sign of industrial development. But get into the city, and you'll find your hotel full of business visitors, you'll see the first tower blocks going up, the place is full of energy, and the streets are lined with small shops piled high with Western products. I've spoken to quite a few American managers who were sent here to assess the market entry situation, only to find their products already on sale all over the city. Some of it was counterfeit product, but some was genuine and had found its way here from other Asian markets. Many companies I've spoken to are playing wait-and-see, but the market is open for business, and other firms are hoping for rich returns from getting in early. Country Profile The Socialist Republic of Vietnam was established in 1975 when, following decades of war, the country was reunified under the communist leadership of Ho Chi Minh. Vietnam had been partitioned into a communist north and a French-backed south by the 1955 Geneva Accords, following the defeat of the French colonial forces by Ho Chi Minh's army at Dien Bien Phu. Continuing tensions, and the increasing support of both Cold War military alliances, soon led to renewed war, which ended in 1975 with the withdrawal of American forces from the southern capital of Saigon (subsequently renamed Ho Chi Minh City). In 1996, all aspects of government were still controlled by the Vietnamese Communist Party and its Politbureau from the capital, Hanoi, in the north of the country. Ho Chi Minh City, the country's largest city, was regaining its former status as the commercial center of the nation. (See Exhibit 2 for a map of Vietnam.) Doi moi (“economic renovation”) was officially launched at the Vietnamese Communist Party's 1986 Congress, and the subsequent reforms included deregulation of prices, reduction of subsidies to state enterprises, ending of the collective agricultural system, new commercial ownership laws to encourage private enterprise, new foreign investment laws, and policies directed toward the stabilization and convertibility of the Vietnamese currency, the dong. These reforms transformed a previously distressed economy (in 1986, inflation averaged 775%) into one of the fastest-growing in the world. Economic indicators and comparative data for the principal Asian economies are reported in Exhibits 3 and 4. In 1996 the legislative program was continuing within the government's policy framework of “market socialism,” which aimed to create a market-oriented economy under the control of the state. This economic growth had been fueled principally by foreign direct investment (FDI) and the establishment of new private Vietnamese-owned organizations. The state-owned sector accounted for 40% of GDP in 1995, and comprised approximately 6,000 state-owned enterprises (SOEs), half the number that had existed in 1990. To date only three of these SOEs had been privatized (“equitized”). Government policy was to encourage foreign joint ventures with SOEs and to establish conglomerates in key industries following the model of the South Korean chaebols. By 1995, 17 such conglomerates had been established in industries including telecommunications, electricity, cement, steel, and garment manufacture. A Vietnamese government trade official described the objectives of this policy: We are changing regulations and reducing tariffs to attract sufficient foreign investment to stimulate industrial growth, but not so much that it stifles the growth of Vietnamese industry. The number of licenses granted in each industrial sectorwill For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 597-020 3 be limited, and tariffs will be managed to balance imports and local production, in line with this policy. Foreign investment commitments worth almost $8 billion were made in 1995, twice the level of the previous year, bringing the total cumulative commitment since the launch of doi moi to approximately $20 billion for over 1,300 approved projects. The total GDP of Vietnam in 1995 was $19 billion. FDI projects in Vietnam averaged $14M to $15M of investment, compared with a $1M average in the People's Republic of China. Approximately $8 billion of these commitments had been realized, of which $4 billion had been realized during 1995. The four largest sources of FDI were Taiwan (total cumulative commitment, $3.3 billion), Hong Kong ($2.2 billion), Japan ($2 billion), and Singapore ($1.6 billion), followed in rank order by South Korea, Australia, Malaysia, and France. U.S.-sourced FDI totaled approximately $1 billion since the lifting of the trade embargo in February 1994, making the United States the tenth-largest source of foreign investment, and was increasing sharply. The major investment sectors were oil and gas, hotels and commercial real estate, telecommunications, services, and light manufacturing. In addition, Vietnam was pledged international aid worth $2.3 billion for 1996, a 15% increase on the previous year, although many previous pledges had never materialized. The largest donor of foreign aid, which was intended primarily for infrastructure projects, was Japan. Local private investment was running at approximately the same level as FDI, with some 20,000 private firms registered by the end of 1995. Local entrepreneurs faced a shortage of capital, given the country's low saving rate and underdeveloped banking sector. A significant contributor of both capital and human resources was the Vietnamese diaspora. The majority of the two million ethnic Vietnamese living abroad (the Viet Kieu) had fled from the south as the war ended in 1975 and had found refuge in North America, Western Europe, or Australasia. It was estimated that in 1994, 250,000 Vietnamese families had received a total of $500 million from relatives living abroad. In 1994 the Vietnamese government reversed its previous policy and instituted preferential terms for Viet Kieu returning to their homeland, including classification as domestic residents for the purposes of taxation and the establishment of joint ventures. The greatest concentration of repatriated Viet Kieu was found in Ho Chi Minh City, where their entrepreneurial activities and taste for Western products contributed to that city's status as the commercial center of the nation. Vietnam's population of 74 million, growing at 2% per annum, was the world's twelfth largest and one of its most youthful: in 1995, approximately 50% of the population was aged 21 or younger. With a national literacy rate of 90%, the Vietnamese workforce was also one of the best educated among emerging markets in Asia. The recent economic growth had yet to change the living standards of the majority of the population, however. A 1994 World Bank report which praised the country's “impressive economic progress” also pointed out that 51% of the population lived in poverty. GDP per capita was $235 in 1995, compared to $2,000 in neighboring Thailand, with four televisions per 100 population (11 in Thailand) and 0.3 telephones per 100 population (3.1 in Thailand). These averages disguised wide variation between the major cities, where economic growth had been concentrated, and the countryside, still home to 80% of the population. This discrepancy, along with increasing pressure on agricultural land caused by population growth, was leading to significant migration to the cities. About 13% of Vietnamese lived in Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi. Unemployment was estimated at 12%. Vietnam joined the Association of South East Asia Nations (ASEAN) in July 1995.1 Membership entailed participation in the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA), one of the targets of which was to reduce tariffs on trade between member countries to a maximum of 5% by 2003, a deadline extended to 2006 for Vietnam. In the same month, Vietnam signed a cooperation agreement 1 The other members of ASEAN were Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. 597-020 Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 4 with the European Union (EU), which gave Vietnamese goods Most Favored Nation (MFN)2 status in the 15 EU countries and vice versa, and included a schedule of increased European aid to Vietnam. The restoration of full diplomatic relations with the United States, also in July 1995, allowed the opening two months later of negotiations regarding trade normalization between the countries, including MFN status. American officials demanded as preconditions for granting of MFN status agreement on the issue of American military personnel unaccounted for after the end of the war, and clarification of “the legal framework, intellectual property rights, trade practices, foreign exchange controls, human and labor rights.” Forms of Market Participation A number of entry modes were possible for an international firm seeking to do business in Vietnam. All had to be agreed by the State Committee for Co-operation and Investment (SCCI). The simplest arrangement was for an MNC to appoint a Vietnamese import agency and export finished product to that agent from outside Vietnam. Formerly, this would have required an international firm to deal with one of nine state-owned import organizations, but recent reforms had extended the granting of import licenses to privately owned Vietnamese firms, and an increasing number of such small distributors were eagerly seeking to represent foreign MNCs. Imported products were subject to tariffs, which had been introduced to replace import quotas as part of the doi moi reforms. In early 1996 these tariffs ranged from 5% to 100%, and averaged 25%, but were subject to frequent government revision and were inconsistently applied by customs officials. In addition to a license granting importer status, a separate product-specific license was required for the import or export of any item, however small, which had to applied for with the bill of lading at least a week before the item was expected to arrive at the Vietnamese port of entry. Open licenses valid for six months for specified items could be granted to joint ventures, BCCs, or foreign-owned ventures (see below); otherwise a license had to be obtained for each consignment. MNCs wishing to invest in Vietnam had a variety of options. The government policy encouraged joint ventures between local SOEs and international organizations, and, in order to attract inbound investment, regulations permitted up to 70% ownership by foreign partners. The Vietnamese partner usually contributed its workforce, premises, equipment, and land use rights, the valuation of which could be problematic. The Foreign Investment Law included a buy-in stipulation, under which local parties could be granted the right to acquire an increasing share of foreign-owned ventures. In any joint venture designated by the government as an “important economic establishment” (mostly infrastructure development and energyindustry projects), there was a legal requirement for the local partner to increase periodically its capital stake (and therefore equity share) in the project. A majority equity share did not bestow managerial control, however, as the law required unanimous voting by directors. Government approval for wholly foreign-owned organizations was granted only in rare cases, typically large and complex projects, where joint ventures were not feasible. Like joint ventures, these organizations were limited to a 70-year life. A processing contract allowed a foreign corporation to use a Vietnamese factory for production or assembly. If the products were intended for export, the foreign company could import necessary raw materials, could provide some of the equipment in the factory, and then re-export. To attract this type of venture, five Export Processing Zones (EPZs) had been created, offering reduced taxation levels and ongoing investment in infrastructure. Their reputation had suffered, however, from 2 In a trade treaty between two countries, agreement to an MFN clause required that each country would trade with the other on terms at least as favorable as those agreed with any other country. For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 597-020 5 problems with power supply and water shortages, and the EPZ in Haiphong collapsed in late 1995 after the 70% owner, based in Hong Kong, declared bankruptcy. The most successful EPZ, Tan Thuan near Ho Chi Minh City, had attracted 60 projects. More recently, more projects had been established in new Industrial Processing Zones (IPZs), intended as centers for both domestic and export production. A number of consumer goods firms, including producers of cigarettes, soft drinks and beer, had licensed manufacturers for small-scale production while awaiting approval of their joint venture applications for larger new production facilities. A business cooperation contract allowed a private Vietnamese enterprise and a foreign partner freedom to design their own contract, and no legal entity was established. Such an arrangement required submission to the SCCI of annual accounts, from which the SCCI calculated the profit it deemed the venture to have made, and levied taxes on the two partners at differential rates. In 1995, the Vietnamese government published a list of major infrastructure projects which qualified for build-operate-transfer ventures. Under such an arrangement, a foreign organization would be allowed to build a property, such as a power station or a toll road, and then retain the profit from its operation for a specified time period, at the end of which it would be transferred to Vietnamese ownership without further compensation. Finally, foreign companies could be granted a license to establish a representative office in Vietnam. The role of such offices was restricted to promotion of international trade, or technical support for local importers or exporters, and such offices were prohibited to engage in investment, trading or marketing. All forms of market participation were subject to approval by the SCCI and in many cases also required separate approval by additional government ministries or by People's Committees at the regional or city level. Consultants all warned that the granting of licenses was not only complex and time-consuming but also unpredictable, as procedures were often improvised because of the incomplete regulatory framework. One MNC, seeking to obtain a 70% stake in a joint venture, was reported to have been required to pay 120 separate fees over three years to obtain the necessary licenses, of which only 40 were required by regulations. Doing Business in Vietnam A number of additional factors were highlighted by consultants and managers experienced in Southeast Asia as critical to any market entry strategy. Distribution Potential distribution partners were plentiful but tended to concentrate only on a specified area, often as small as a few blocks in one of the major cities. The choice facing any MNC was often between a distribution organization partly or wholly owned by the government, and a young but small privately owned distributor. The former would probably boast better connections with officials but might prove less aggressive in selling, while the latter would probably be more entrepreneurial but had yet to establish a customer base. National distribution required an extensive network of distribution partners; the Castrol oil company had to establish its own fleet of trucks to deliver motor oil to its many distribution points. The principal difficulty was described by one consultant as “telling the difference between the aggressive but competent distributor and the cowboys who will be knocking at your door as soon as you check into your hotel.” He also warned that Vietnamese business tended to be based upon a trading culture. . . . Traditionally, goods have been scarce, and consumer demand could be taken for granted if you managed to get your product to the market. . . . The emphasis is still on moving product quickly, and negotiating over price, rather than what Western firms know as marketing or positioning. Honda has excelled at playing this game in selling motor scooters: the company appoints a large number of For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. 597-020 Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 6 distributors, who then compete with each other to achieve the sales volumes they need to retain their agencies the following year. The result is that the cities are swarming with Honda motor scooters. Corruption Despite a government campaign and an increase in criminal convictions, corruption was prevalent at all levels in both industrial and government sectors. One experienced Asian MNC executive described Vietnam as “the worst country in Asia” in this regard, and attributed the problem to the generally low salary levels and the lack of an official schedule of fees for licenses and permits. One Vietnamese-American owner of a small Ho Chi Minh City distribution company indicated that U.S. corporations were especially challenged by this problem: “Their legislation3 means that, if one of their managers gets caught, the liability can spread back up through the corporation. It scares them stiff, and it can put them at a real competitive disadvantage alongside Asian and European companies.” Vietnam's long coastline and mountainous frontiers facilitated smuggling of goods into the country. Around 40% to 60% of the consumer electronics piled high at streetside stores in Ho Chi Minh City were said to be smuggled, as were 100% of the highly visible foreign cigarette brands (because they were formally prohibited). U.S. products had been widely available in the major cities before the lifting of the trade embargo in 1994, including brands as varied as Kleenex (at three times the price of local brands) and Kodak (a number of Kodak processing outlets were in operation in Ho Chi Minh City as early as 1992). Executives from Castrol had reported competition from competitive brands of brake fluid which had been illegally imported as “motor oil” and thus charged only a 1% tariff instead of 35%. Infrastructure Years of war and economic hardship had left Vietnam with little infrastructure to support its ambitious economic reforms. The 1,000-mile trip between Hanoi andHo Chi Minh City required five to eight days by Highway 1—the only road linking the north and south of the country— or two days by rail. Vietnam's two major ports, Ho Chi Minh City and Hai Phong, were both shallow-water harbors upriver from the sea, so large shipments had to be offloaded into smaller feeder ships at either Singapore, Hong Kong, or Kao Siung, Taiwan. Both ports also lacked capacity and equipment to cope with booming imports, as did the country's main airports. Delays were exacerbated by product loss or damage in transit running at rates as high as 25% to 50%. Office and production premises could be subject to periodic power outages and telecommunications blackouts. Costs One of the major attractions of Vietnam for foreign investors was the low level of labor costs. Typical monthly compensation in Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi was $40 for an unskilled laborer (the legal minimum wage), $100 for a secretary, and $200 for an engineer or manager. Additional employment costs were typically 50% of compensation. Rates were one-third lower outside the two major cities. Although the level of basic education was good, managerial talent was scarce. Foreign investors also faced high office rents, and the process of establishing an office was slowed by the need for land-use permits for all premises. Telecommunications costs were also high, up to $20 per minute for calls to the United States, for example. Both property and telecommunications costs were expected to fall with continued market development. Profiles of Three Multinational Corporations The three U.S. MNCs considering entry into Vietnam were all experienced in international operations, and all aspired to global leadership in their industries. Exhibit 5 summarizes their international distribution arrangements. 3The Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 597-020 7 Chemical Corporation Chemical was the world leader in chemical adhesives and sealants for industrial applications. The company’s core product range, which always formed the introductory line when entering new markets, was positioned as a replacement technology, offering superior performance-cost relative to more traditional mechanical fastenings and seals. The range of potential applications was wide, including virtually all manufacturing operations, after-market applications such as automotive servicing, and even some consumer applications. The firm marketed its specialty chemicals as low-volume, premium-priced, branded products and expected to have a diverse and fragmented customer base. This marketing strategy was built upon two major thrusts. First, sales personnel were trained to tailor their offering to the individual applications of customers. Most important, this entailed “pricing to value,” which required an analysis of the long-term savings to the customer of performance improvements from switching from traditional and ostensibly cheaper technologies. Second, the firm strived to maintain technological leadership by requiring that 30% of revenues should flow from products introduced in the previous five years. In support of these two strategies, Chemical, which enjoyed a 61% gross margin, invested 32% of its 1995 revenues in sales and marketing and 7% in R&D laboratories in the United States, Ireland and Japan. Chemical's executives, who estimated their market share as high as 80% in the domestic U.S. market, viewed their major challenge as market expansion. International distribution was a strength. From its foundation, the firm had been approached by numerous distributors wishing to carry its products, and it was part of company lore that its products were crossing the Atlantic Ocean before they crossed the Mississippi River. The global distribution network had evolved independently of manufacturing operations, because of the low bulk-to-value nature of its products. By 1995, the company's manufacturing operations were located in the United States, Puerto Rico, Ireland, Costa Rica, Japan, and Brazil, with additional operations (to meet local regulatory requirements) in India and the People's Republic of China. This logistics network could supply new markets at short notice: the ex-Soviet-bloc countries of Eastern Europe, for instance, were supplied from Ireland via a warehouse in Vienna within three days of a new distributor being appointed and/or placing an order. Chemical favored independent distributors for market entry, because of their existing product ranges and customer base, which provided both economies of scope for the initial low- volume business, and access to industrial customers who felt no obvious need for this replacement technology. The firm emphasized training and support to distributors in the difficult selling challenge posed by its product range, and the higher margins it offered to the general industrial supply houses who made up the majority of its distributors. To encourage investment in business development, distributors were generally granted territorial exclusivity. In many cases, however, sales had reached a plateau after several years in market, and Chemical had switched to a direct distribution subsidiary. The slowdown in sales growth was variously attributed to the lack of marketing capability by the distributor or a lack of ambition to dominate the market (distributors were often small, privately owned organizations). In the words of the head of the firm's operations in China, “Our own people always outperform even the best distributors. They run out of steam because they don't immerse themselves in our technology and the benefits it can deliver to customers.” All Chemical's 45 national distribution subsidiaries had evolved from independent national distributors. Chemical's vice president for Asia/Pacific, based in Hong Kong, had been with the company for 30 years, the last 16 in Asia. The region accounted for 13% of corporate sales revenues in 1995 and had grown 21% since 1994. Over the previous two years, Chemical’s Asian operations had been restructured in response to their growing size, and, by 1995, there were four marketing sub-regions reporting to Hong Kong: Eastern Asia, which included Japan and South Korea; Greater China, comprising the People's Republic of China, Taiwan and Hong Kong; Central Asia, including India; and Southeast Asia, including Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Australia and New Zealand. The regional Hong Kong office comprised five executives and two support staff. Chemical's products would be subject to a 30% import tariff in Vietnam. The regional vice president commented: For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. 597-020 Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 8 A lot of our attention is focused on Asia these days, because of slower growth in America and Europe and because so many of our U.S. manufacturing customers are setting up here. We have an established operation here in Hong Kong, and I know we can serve Vietnam well enough from our new logistics base in Singapore. If we exported into Vietnam, using a representative office to provide technical support, our products would be three or four times the price of the local or Chinese adhesives they are using at the moment. We have received six approaches from distributors wanting to represent us— four from Ho Chi Minh City,one from Hanoi, and one from a Viet Kieu working with our products in a major customer in California. Frankly, I don’t know how to evaluate these potential distributors. I doubt if any of them have the sense of quality and service needed to represent Chemical and sell its products effectively. I suppose we could set up a representative office to provide technical support. We have also been approached by an SOE seeking to establish a manufacturing joint venture, but we’re in India and the PRC already. Sports Corporation Sports Corporation, founded in 1978, enjoyed explosive growth in its youth- and fashion-oriented market for sports footwear and apparel. Still under the leadership of its founder, Sports ranked second in global market share in most of its product-markets. The company contracted out virtually all its manufacturing to independent suppliers in Asia and viewed its core competences as product design and marketing expertise. Sports's success depended on the ability to deliver innovative products to a fast-changing and segmented market. As a result, brand building, advertising and promotion, endorsements by sports teams and celebrities, and retail channel relations were all especially important. The majority of Sports's products would face a 40% import tariff on entering Vietnam, although for some the rate would be only 20%. Maintaining normal margins, Sports’s cheapest pair of sneakers could retail for $35 a pair. In 1995, Sports’s major competitor had established production in Vietnam under a processing contract. Although product from this plant was intended for re- export, it was thought that investment in production facilities would have a beneficial effect on the brand’s market development in Vietnam. Sports executives commented that demand might prove stronger than in other emerging markets, because of the high brand awareness spread by Viet Kieu returning from the U.S. and other countries. Reflecting the values of its founder, Sports sought as its international distributors “entrepreneurs with their own money on the line and a fortune to be made from rapid growth.” Distributors were given territorial exclusivity and considerable autonomy as incentives to invest in growing their business and responding to local market conditions. Like Chemical, Sports Corporation had in several cases bought back its distribution rights from independent distributors and established a direct distribution subsidiary. The usual catalysts for this move were financial problems in the distributor, the limited capacity of the distributor to support the business once it had grown beyond a certain size, or the desire of the distributor principal(s) to realize profits from the agency. In general, however, Sports preferred to “leave the business in the hands of the people who know the market best.” An alternative arrangement was a minority equity position in the distributor organization. Sports did not involve itself in operational decision making, but used its access to financial and market performance figures to exercise control on a “by-exception” basis. In addition, this arrangement enabled Sports to participate in the incremental revenue stream from any brand premium the distributor was able to extract above the cost-plus price at which the product was purchased from Sports. The Asia-Pacific region accounted for 7% of Sports Corporation's sales in 1995. The firm’s For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 597-020 9 Asian marketing organization had been restructured in early 1996. The regional vice president, who had previously led a single team in Hong Kong, relocated to Tokyo to head a North Asia unit and was replaced in Hong Kong by a vice president switched from Europe to take charge of the South Asia region. The new regional vice president commented: Asian markets represent our biggest growth opportunity, but we've had a number of problems in the region, in particular the logistics of moving product around the markets and creating the right sort of retail environment for our brand. Vietnam embodies all these issues. It's a huge, booming, young market, but it's underdeveloped as yet. If we wait, and one of our major competitors gets in first, we may never catch up. But our results have been a little sluggish recently, and we must avoid too much exposure in high-risk markets. So far, our U.S. headquarters has received seven letters of enquiry from potential distributors, and we have identified five additional candidates. One of these is a company which manufactures and exports jeans and also runs a chain of four modern sports equipment stores in Ho Chi Minh City; they are also talking to our competitors. Right now, there are only about 20 retail outlets where athletic footwear is being sold in a half-decent manner. There are a lot of counterfeits on the streets. Children Corporation Children Corporation, founded in 1945, was the global leader in the manufacturing and marketing of branded toys. Against all industry trends, Children integrated almost all its manufacturing, enabling it to reap economies of scale and achieve new quality levels in a product range of which 80% was new every year. By 1996, the firm's 15 manufacturing plants were located in the United States, Canada, Mexico, UK, Italy, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the People's Republic of China. Children used consumer packaged goods marketing practices such as co- promotions, in-store merchandising and, above all, television advertising, to expand its market. The company had developed several well-known brands within its product line, which provided a backdrop of continuity to the annual seasonal launch of its new products at the toy industry's buying fairs. In addition, it had benefited in a number of countries from a shake-up in the retail sector, with “category killer” hypermarkets and new entrants such as Toys 'R' Us often transforming what the firm's senior executives claimed had been a “cottage industry of mom-and-pop stores.” The president of the international division identified three key success factors: First, we're the best at understanding children's play patterns, which are pretty similar around the world. Second, our manufacturing operations can deliver good-quality innovative product at the competitive price points needed to open up the mass market. Third, we communicate well with our market through advertising, co-promotions with other entertainment companies, and cooperation with retailers in merchandising. Children's early international growth had been spearheaded by its business as a supplier of components to local toy manufacturers. Over time, many of these OEM customers became assemblers, as manufacture became concentrated in a small number of low-cost centers, principally Hong Kong, and many took on distribution agencies for Children's full line of toys. Major growth outside North America had only been achieved since the early 1980s, when Children began switching to direct distribution subsidiaries. This era also saw an easing of the tariff and advertising restrictions, which the firm argued had hindered its international development, and an opening of previously specialist and protected distribution trades. Children's policy when re-acquiring an international distribution franchise was to install a new management team of local managers headhunted from local subsidiaries of MNCs operating in other consumer goods sectors. As described by one of the firm's country managers: “Wholesalers, distributors, and retailers are For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorizedfor use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. 597-020 Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 10 typically all servants of many masters. They never want one player to grow too strong. To gain market leadership, we have to get control of our own business and innovate.” Despite this, Children recognized the value of independent distributors as market entry partners, given the closed character of distribution systems in many country-markets, and had never entered a new country-market by establishing a wholly owned subsidiary at the outset. Asia/Pacific was the firm's smallest region in terms of sales revenue, accounting for 11% of 1995 sales, but was regarded as having the greatest long-term potential. Children's manufacturing operations, recently expanded by the installation of substantial new capacity in Indonesia, were run as a stand-alone global division which supplied the company's marketing organizations. The firm faced uneven demand due to the seasonality of gift-giving, and therefore its coordinated production schedules were inevitably skewed to suit its largest markets at the expense of the smaller ones. Children's vice president for Asia-Pacific was located at U.S. corporate headquarters. A small team of four regional staff in Hong Kong aided Children’s country managers. After an uneven history in Asia, attributed to the “complex and protectionist” distribution systems in the region, recent sales growth was strong, especially in Japan, where several previous ventures had ended in failure. The regional vice president commented: Some of my colleagues say it's far too early to enter Vietnam, because of the undeveloped retail sector. We need the right retail environment to support our brands, which despite our best efforts will be more expensive than the toys currently on offer. But I believe that we should appoint a distributor to start selling in Vietnam now. In fact, our best-selling products are already available in the airport duty-free shops in Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi. Demand would be very concentrated in the two largest cities, so we could easily identify the special gift-oriented distribution channels. Also, television broadcasting is relatively advanced, so advertising would be possible from day one.4 We have been approached by two SOEs that make toys. Their products are low quality and retail on average for $3 a unit, compared to our $15. However, these SOEs claim to have access to over 1,000 retail distribution points throughout the country, and the top managers in one of them seem young and aggressive. But I’d be concerned about our molds being duplicated without our knowledge. We have also been asked whether we’d be interested in a processing contract, using excess capacity at one of these SOEs to assemble our toys for export. Given current labor rates, we could save $1 a unit if we assembled some of our more labor-intensive toys in Vietnam. 4Total advertising spending was $100 million in Vietnam in 1995, up from $31 million in 1994. For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 597-020 11 Exhibit 1xxxSurvey of Japanese Corporations: Most Promising Countries for Future Investment During the Next Three Years Ranking in 1995 Survey No. of 336 Respondents Citings Ranking in 1994 Survey No. of 238 Respondents Citings During the Next 10 Years Ranking in 1995 Survey No. of 274 Respondents Citings Ranking in 1994 Survey No. of 284 Respondents Citings China 1 248 1 169 China 1 215 1 265 Thailand 2 122 2 75 Vietnam 2 113 2 114 Indonesia 3 110 4 58 India 3 98 7 38 U.S. 4 108 3 72 U.S. 4 83 4 85 Vietnam 5 95 6 34 Indonesia 5 66 5 83 Malaysia 6 73 5 57 Thailand 6 66 3 92 India 7 57 10 14 Burma 7 40 - - Philippines 8 52 10 14 Malaysia 8 35 6 44 Singapore 9 32 7 33 Philippines 9 31 10 19 U.K. 10 24 9 19 U.K. 10 16 - - Source: Adapted from Export-Import Bank of Japan data. Exhibit 2xxxMap of South East Asia Hanoi Ho Chi Minh City THAILAND MALAYSIA MALAYSIA PHILIPPINES HONG KONG TAIWAN South China Sea BRUNEI SINGAPORE MYANMAR VIETNAM LAOS CAMBODIA PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. 597-020 Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 12 Exhibit 3 Vietnam—Economic Data 1995 1994 1993 1992 GDP (US$ millions) 19,100 13,900 12,800 9,900 Real GDP growth (%) 9.5 8.5 8.1 7.8 Exports (US$ millions) 5,200 4,250 3,010 2,600 Imports (US$ millions) 7,520 5,850 3,900 2,550 Retail price inflation 14.2 15.5 6.5 17.8 Source: Adapted from Economist Intelligence Unit data. Exhibit 4xxxComparative Performance Data for Asian Countries Source: Adapted from Deutsche Bank data. GDP China S Korea India Taiwan Indonesia Thailand Hong Kong Malaysia Singapore Philippines Pakistan Vietnam 200100 5004003000 1994, $bn GDP per person Hong Kong Singapore Taiwan S Korea Malaysia Thailand Indonesia China Philippines Pakistan Vietnam India 105 20150 1993, $’000 Average exchange rates Purchasing-power parity GDP growth China Singapore Vietnam Malaysia S Korea Thailand Indonesia Taiwan Hong Kong India Pakistan Philippines 4 1280 1994, % For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016. Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions 597-020 13 Exhibit 5 International Distribution Organization of Multinational Corporations Chemical Corp. Sports Corp. Children Corp. Total Global Network: Independent distributors 11 30 5 Joint ventures 0 11 1 Direct distribution subsidiaries 45 17 30 Asia Pacific Region: Independent distributors Indonesia New Zeland Australia Indonesia New Zealand Philippines South Korea Taiwan Thailand Joint ventures (MNC ownership 50% or less) Philippines (33%) Hong Kong (33%) Singapore (33%) Malaysia (33%) Thailand (28%) Taiwan (25%) Direct distribution subsidiaries (100% unless shown) Australia Hong Kong Indonesia Japan Malaysia People’s Republic of China(75%) Philippines Singapore Souith Korea Taiwan Thailand Hong Kong India (60%) South Korea (80%) People’s Republic of China (66%) Japan (51%) Australia Hong Kong Indonesia Japan Singapore For exclusive use Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile), 2015 This document is authorized for use only in CDD 2015 Desarrollo de Producto y Marca (SSFF-HP) by Hern?n Palacios, Pontificia Universidad Catolica Chile (PUC-Chile) from August 2015 to February 2016.
Compartir